MARKET MONITOR · 歷史數據
Market Monitor 歷史數據 1999–2026
同一套 8 個指標回帶到 1999 年：睇下歷次熊市同見底，Score 當時去到幾多。數據截至 2026-09-29。
- 6,977交易日（1999-01-04 → 2026-09-29）
- 37警戒期（Score ≥ 10 連續 5 日或以上）
- 21.2%時間處於 Meltdown 區（1,480 日）
- 5.0平均 Score（範圍 0–16）
Score 分佈
大部分時間市場都係綠燈。Score 長期企喺 10 以上係少數情況，而歷史上呢啲時段同熊市高度重疊。
Score vs 標普 500
標普 500 指數
7,6007,7007,671
Market Monitor Score（0–16）健康 0–4警示 5–9Meltdown 10–16
0510163
8/289/49/149/219/28
標普 500 指數
6,5007,0007,5007,671
Market Monitor Score（0–16）健康 0–4警示 5–9Meltdown 10–16
0510163
5月6月7月8月9月
標普 500 指數
6,5007,0007,5007,671
Market Monitor Score（0–16）健康 0–4警示 5–9Meltdown 10–16
0510163
12月2月4月6月8月
標普 500 指數（對數刻度，每週收市）
1,0002,0004,0007,671
Market Monitor Score 區間（每週）健康 0–4警示 5–9Meltdown 10–16
200020052010201520202025
歷史關鍵日：Score 當時讀數
| 日期 | 事件 | Score | 標普 500 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2000-03-24 | Dot-com 見頂 泡沫高峰，結構未破 | 4 | 1,527.46 |
| 2002-10-09 | Dot-com 見底 熊市最後一日 | 16 | 776.76 |
| 2008-09-15 | 雷曼倒閉 金融海嘯爆發 | 16 | 1,192.70 |
| 2009-03-09 | GFC 見底 標普 666 點 | 16 | 676.53 |
| 2020-03-23 | COVID 見底 史上最快熊市 | 14 | 2,237.40 |
| 2022-10-12 | 通脹熊見底 加息周期底部 | 15 | 3,577.03 |
| 2025-04-08 | 關稅衝擊 急跌低位 | 15 | 4,982.77 |
留意兩點：幾次重大底部 Score 都喺 14–16；但 2000 年科網見頂當日 Score 只有 4。呢個表反映嘅係結構已經惡化到咩程度，唔係預測頂部。
最長連續警戒期
| 期間 | 交易日 | 最高 Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2002-04-22 → 2003-04-14 | 248 | 16 |
| 2008-09-02 → 2009-06-09 | 194 | 16 |
| 2000-10-06 → 2001-05-18 | 155 | 16 |
| 2001-07-05 → 2001-11-20 | 94 | 16 |
| 2008-01-04 → 2008-04-29 | 80 | 16 |
| 2022-04-20 → 2022-08-12 | 80 | 16 |
每年統計
撳年份睇嗰年每一個交易日嘅完整數據（8 個指標 + Score）。
| 年份 | 交易日 | 平均 | 最高 | Meltdown 日數 | 警示日數 | 標普全年 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 186 | 4.1 | 11 | 9 | 62 | +11.8% |
| 2025 | 250 | 4.3 | 15 | 39 | 44 | +16.6% |
| 2024 | 252 | 1.5 | 11 | 1 | 20 | +24.0% |
| 2023 | 250 | 2.9 | 14 | 7 | 74 | +24.7% |
| 2022 | 251 | 11.9 | 16 | 205 | 35 | −20.0% |
| 2021 | 252 | 1.7 | 9 | 0 | 24 | +28.8% |
| 2020 | 253 | 5.1 | 16 | 33 | 92 | +15.3% |
| 2019 | 252 | 2.8 | 16 | 14 | 50 | +28.7% |
| 2018 | 251 | 3.8 | 16 | 30 | 63 | −7.0% |
| 2017 | 251 | 0.1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +18.4% |
| 2016 | 252 | 3.3 | 15 | 32 | 28 | +11.2% |
| 2015 | 252 | 3.4 | 15 | 25 | 49 | −0.7% |
| 2014 | 252 | 0.9 | 9 | 0 | 11 | +12.4% |
| 2013 | 252 | 0.5 | 6 | 0 | 1 | +26.4% |
| 2012 | 250 | 3.6 | 10 | 3 | 78 | +11.7% |
| 2011 | 252 | 6.3 | 16 | 80 | 57 | −1.1% |
| 2010 | 252 | 5.5 | 15 | 58 | 72 | +11.0% |
| 2009 | 252 | 7.9 | 16 | 109 | 72 | +19.7% |
| 2008 | 253 | 13.0 | 16 | 213 | 40 | −37.6% |
| 2007 | 251 | 3.3 | 12 | 11 | 66 | +3.7% |
| 2006 | 251 | 2.9 | 11 | 10 | 52 | +11.8% |
| 2005 | 252 | 2.6 | 9 | 0 | 73 | +3.8% |
| 2004 | 252 | 4.8 | 11 | 16 | 109 | +9.3% |
| 2003 | 252 | 5.8 | 16 | 71 | 34 | +22.3% |
| 2002 | 252 | 12.3 | 16 | 209 | 43 | −23.8% |
| 2001 | 248 | 11.9 | 16 | 208 | 40 | −10.5% |
| 2000 | 252 | 7.7 | 16 | 91 | 92 | −9.3% |
| 1999 | 252 | 4.4 | 11 | 6 | 90 | +19.6% |
「標普全年」由該年第一個交易日收市計至最後一個交易日收市。
最近 60 個交易日
淺黃底 = 黃燈（1 分），淺紅底 = 紅燈（2 分）。手機可以左右掃睇齊 8 個指標。 2026 年全年數據 →
| 日期 | Score | VIX 5日均 | 指數 vs 50日線 | % 企穩 50日線 | 個股距52週高 | % 企穩 200日線 | 50日 vs 200日 | 21日波幅 | 標普距52週高 | 標普 500 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-29 | 3 | 15.57 | +1.84% | 60.0% | 紅燈 −20.85% | 黃燈 60.0% | +5.99% | 10.9% | −1.87% | 7,670.84 |
| 2026-09-28 | 2 | 15.20 | +1.91% | 56.7% | 紅燈 −20.99% | 63.3% | +5.98% | 10.9% | −1.70% | 7,683.69 |
| 2026-09-25 | 1 | 14.96 | +2.96% | 56.7% | 黃燈 −19.96% | 63.3% | +5.98% | 10.8% | −0.94% | 7,743.41 |
| 2026-09-24 | 3 | 15.19 | +2.63% | 53.3% | 紅燈 −20.39% | 黃燈 60.0% | +6.00% | 10.7% | −1.44% | 7,704.13 |
| 2026-09-23 | 3 | 15.60 | +2.68% | 53.3% | 紅燈 −20.66% | 黃燈 56.7% | +6.02% | 10.8% | −1.42% | 7,706.03 |
| 2026-09-22 | 3 | 15.41 | +3.50% | 53.3% | 紅燈 −20.22% | 黃燈 60.0% | +6.03% | 10.4% | −0.67% | 7,764.64 |
| 2026-09-21 | 4 | 16.01 | +3.16% | 黃燈 50.0% | 紅燈 −20.47% | 黃燈 60.0% | +6.03% | 10.5% | −0.67% | 7,764.70 |
| 2026-09-18 | 4 | 16.45 | +1.02% | 黃燈 43.3% | 紅燈 −22.55% | 黃燈 60.0% | +6.04% | 9.6% | −2.13% | 7,650.50 |
| 2026-09-17 | 4 | 16.66 | +0.61% | 黃燈 43.3% | 紅燈 −22.69% | 黃燈 56.7% | +6.08% | 9.7% | −2.29% | 7,637.76 |
| 2026-09-16 | 6 | 黃燈 17.14 | 黃燈 −0.79% | 黃燈 46.7% | 紅燈 −23.72% | 黃燈 56.7% | +6.09% | 8.9% | −3.39% | 7,551.81 |
| 2026-09-15 | 5 | 16.89 | 黃燈 −0.58% | 黃燈 46.7% | 紅燈 −23.60% | 黃燈 56.7% | +6.13% | 9.0% | −2.95% | 7,585.73 |
| 2026-09-14 | 5 | 16.59 | 黃燈 −0.05% | 黃燈 46.7% | 紅燈 −22.94% | 黃燈 56.7% | +6.18% | 8.9% | −2.52% | 7,619.98 |
| 2026-09-11 | 3 | 16.08 | +0.62% | 53.3% | 紅燈 −22.45% | 黃燈 56.7% | +6.21% | 9.1% | −2.04% | 7,656.98 |
| 2026-09-10 | 5 | 15.77 | 黃燈 −0.26% | 黃燈 43.3% | 紅燈 −23.30% | 黃燈 56.7% | +6.24% | 8.6% | −2.88% | 7,591.70 |
| 2026-09-09 | 4 | 15.25 | +0.55% | 黃燈 43.3% | 紅燈 −22.82% | 黃燈 56.7% | +6.29% | 8.5% | −2.31% | 7,636.36 |
| 2026-09-08 | 3 | 15.22 | +0.96% | 56.7% | 紅燈 −22.67% | 黃燈 56.7% | +6.31% | 8.3% | −1.83% | 7,673.52 |
| 2026-09-04 | 4 | 15.06 | +1.37% | 黃燈 46.7% | 紅燈 −22.13% | 黃燈 60.0% | +6.30% | 8.4% | −1.26% | 7,718.60 |
| 2026-09-03 | 2 | 15.04 | +1.51% | 60.0% | 紅燈 −21.57% | 63.3% | +6.28% | 8.3% | −0.88% | 7,747.71 |
| 2026-09-02 | 3 | 15.08 | +0.46% | 53.3% | 紅燈 −21.90% | 黃燈 60.0% | +6.24% | 7.4% | −1.92% | 7,666.60 |
| 2026-09-01 | 4 | 15.08 | +0.15% | 黃燈 46.7% | 紅燈 −22.38% | 黃燈 60.0% | +6.23% | 9.6% | −2.37% | 7,631.47 |
| 2026-08-31 | 2 | 14.90 | +1.14% | 53.3% | 紅燈 −21.51% | 70.0% | +6.24% | 10.5% | −1.67% | 7,686.14 |
| 2026-08-28 | 3 | 15.09 | +1.26% | 黃燈 50.0% | 紅燈 −21.57% | 63.3% | +6.25% | 10.5% | −1.34% | 7,711.76 |
| 2026-08-27 | 3 | 15.23 | +1.77% | 黃燈 43.3% | 紅燈 −21.14% | 70.0% | +6.24% | 11.6% | −1.10% | 7,730.99 |
| 2026-08-26 | 3 | 15.53 | +0.71% | 黃燈 46.7% | 紅燈 −21.92% | 63.3% | +6.25% | 13.0% | −1.80% | 7,675.70 |
| 2026-08-25 | 3 | 15.47 | +0.67% | 黃燈 46.7% | 紅燈 −21.74% | 66.7% | +6.29% | 13.0% | −1.78% | 7,677.28 |
| 2026-08-24 | 3 | 15.54 | +0.21% | 黃燈 46.7% | 紅燈 −22.29% | 63.3% | +6.28% | 13.0% | −2.10% | 7,652.86 |
| 2026-08-21 | 4 | 15.41 | +0.86% | 黃燈 46.7% | 紅燈 −21.81% | 黃燈 60.0% | +6.28% | 12.9% | −1.82% | 7,674.37 |
| 2026-08-20 | 4 | 15.24 | +0.56% | 黃燈 46.7% | 紅燈 −22.25% | 黃燈 60.0% | +6.22% | 13.7% | −2.25% | 7,641.16 |
| 2026-08-19 | 3 | 14.96 | +1.40% | 53.3% | 紅燈 −21.54% | 黃燈 60.0% | +6.21% | 13.3% | −1.39% | 7,707.98 |
| 2026-08-18 | 2 | 14.89 | +1.45% | 53.3% | 紅燈 −21.79% | 63.3% | +6.19% | 13.5% | −1.60% | 7,691.76 |
| 2026-08-17 | 4 | 14.78 | +2.72% | 黃燈 46.7% | 紅燈 −21.14% | 黃燈 60.0% | +6.17% | 13.2% | −0.92% | 7,745.06 |
| 2026-08-14 | 2 | 14.83 | +3.09% | 60.0% | 紅燈 −20.78% | 63.3% | +6.18% | 13.7% | −0.40% | 7,785.76 |
| 2026-08-13 | 2 | 14.96 | +3.25% | 53.3% | 紅燈 −20.40% | 63.3% | +6.19% | 13.8% | −0.23% | 7,798.99 |
| 2026-08-12 | 4 | 15.07 | +2.34% | 黃燈 43.3% | 紅燈 −21.01% | 黃燈 60.0% | +6.21% | 13.7% | −0.58% | 7,748.50 |
| 2026-08-11 | 4 | 15.32 | +1.83% | 黃燈 46.7% | 紅燈 −21.26% | 黃燈 60.0% | +6.24% | 13.8% | −0.84% | 7,728.20 |
| 2026-08-10 | 2 | 15.56 | +2.15% | 53.3% | 紅燈 −21.04% | 63.3% | +6.28% | 14.0% | −0.52% | 7,753.11 |
| 2026-08-07 | 3 | 15.64 | +2.36% | 黃燈 43.3% | 紅燈 −20.98% | 63.3% | +6.30% | 14.1% | −0.46% | 7,757.64 |
| 2026-08-06 | 4 | 15.86 | +1.47% | 黃燈 46.7% | 紅燈 −21.92% | 黃燈 60.0% | +6.31% | 14.2% | −1.07% | 7,709.96 |
| 2026-08-05 | 4 | 16.25 | +1.76% | 黃燈 46.7% | 紅燈 −22.04% | 黃燈 60.0% | +6.34% | 14.2% | −0.90% | 7,723.55 |
| 2026-08-04 | 4 | 黃燈 17.22 | +2.30% | 黃燈 46.7% | 紅燈 −21.65% | 63.3% | +6.35% | 14.3% | −0.28% | 7,736.52 |
| 2026-08-03 | 6 | 黃燈 17.56 | 黃燈 −0.18% | 黃燈 36.7% | 紅燈 −23.63% | 黃燈 60.0% | +6.34% | 13.2% | −0.27% | 7,600.50 |
| 2026-07-31 | 7 | 黃燈 18.12 | 黃燈 −1.78% | 紅燈 30.0% | 紅燈 −24.52% | 黃燈 60.0% | +6.37% | 12.2% | −1.72% | 7,489.72 |
| 2026-07-30 | 7 | 黃燈 18.64 | 黃燈 −2.41% | 紅燈 30.0% | 紅燈 −25.14% | 黃燈 60.0% | +6.39% | 11.9% | −2.40% | 7,437.63 |
| 2026-07-29 | 8 | 黃燈 18.96 | 紅燈 −4.80% | 黃燈 33.3% | 紅燈 −26.55% | 黃燈 53.3% | +6.45% | 10.7% | 黃燈 −4.00% | 7,316.15 |
| 2026-07-28 | 8 | 黃燈 18.16 | 紅燈 −3.15% | 紅燈 30.0% | 紅燈 −25.09% | 黃燈 56.7% | +6.52% | 10.2% | −2.52% | 7,428.78 |
| 2026-07-27 | 7 | 黃燈 17.93 | 黃燈 −2.85% | 紅燈 26.7% | 紅燈 −25.11% | 黃燈 53.3% | +6.59% | 10.1% | −2.73% | 7,413.18 |
| 2026-07-24 | 8 | 黃燈 17.92 | 黃燈 −2.76% | 紅燈 20.0% | 紅燈 −25.42% | 紅燈 40.0% | +6.66% | 10.1% | −2.74% | 7,411.98 |
| 2026-07-23 | 7 | 黃燈 17.96 | 黃燈 −2.26% | 紅燈 30.0% | 紅燈 −25.08% | 黃燈 46.7% | +6.70% | 10.2% | −2.79% | 7,408.30 |
| 2026-07-22 | 6 | 黃燈 17.57 | 黃燈 −0.76% | 黃燈 40.0% | 紅燈 −23.57% | 黃燈 53.3% | +6.76% | 10.5% | −1.60% | 7,498.96 |
| 2026-07-21 | 6 | 黃燈 17.37 | 黃燈 −0.42% | 黃燈 36.7% | 紅燈 −22.95% | 黃燈 56.7% | +6.79% | 10.6% | −1.47% | 7,509.20 |
| 2026-07-20 | 6 | 黃燈 17.26 | 黃燈 −1.75% | 黃燈 36.7% | 紅燈 −24.16% | 黃燈 60.0% | +6.80% | 10.8% | −2.33% | 7,443.28 |
| 2026-07-17 | 5 | 16.97 | 黃燈 −1.67% | 黃燈 33.3% | 紅燈 −24.06% | 黃燈 60.0% | +6.84% | 11.6% | −2.14% | 7,457.69 |
| 2026-07-16 | 5 | 16.22 | 黃燈 −0.38% | 黃燈 40.0% | 紅燈 −22.28% | 黃燈 60.0% | +6.84% | 11.3% | −1.14% | 7,533.77 |
| 2026-07-15 | 4 | 16.04 | +0.78% | 黃燈 50.0% | 紅燈 −21.73% | 黃燈 60.0% | +6.81% | 12.5% | −0.64% | 7,572.40 |
| 2026-07-14 | 3 | 16.29 | +0.84% | 53.3% | 紅燈 −21.68% | 黃燈 56.7% | +6.79% | 12.5% | −1.01% | 7,543.59 |
| 2026-07-13 | 4 | 16.21 | +0.22% | 黃燈 46.7% | 紅燈 −21.72% | 黃燈 60.0% | +6.76% | 13.7% | −1.39% | 7,515.34 |
| 2026-07-10 | 4 | 15.89 | +1.70% | 黃燈 50.0% | 紅燈 −20.52% | 黃燈 56.7% | +6.72% | 14.7% | −0.60% | 7,575.39 |
| 2026-07-09 | 4 | 16.12 | +1.47% | 黃燈 46.7% | 紅燈 −20.79% | 黃燈 56.7% | +6.66% | 14.8% | −1.01% | 7,543.64 |
| 2026-07-08 | 4 | 16.27 | +0.39% | 黃燈 46.7% | 紅燈 −21.81% | 黃燈 56.7% | +6.62% | 14.5% | −1.81% | 7,482.71 |
| 2026-07-07 | 5 | 16.18 | +0.50% | 黃燈 40.0% | 紅燈 −21.66% | 黃燈 56.7% | +6.60% | 黃燈 17.3% | −1.54% | 7,503.85 |